COVID-19 — Coronavirus

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Far from "indisputable", that is absolute prime bollocks. Not only is Sweden's death rate not "far superior to the rest of Europe", it's the exact opposite. There's not a single European country with a significantly worse death rate than Sweden.

This table suggests different to your view...

There are only four countries that have a current lower death rate per 100,000 than Sweden. Sweden are at the same figure as Germany 0.3. It is an interesting read.

We have a population roughly six times the size of Sweden we have had over six times as many cases and seven times as many deaths.


EU/EEA and the UKSum of CasesSum of Deaths14-day cumulative number of COVID-19 cases per 100 00014-day cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths per 100 000
Spain936 560 33 775312.43.6
France834 770 33 303365.81.7
United_Kingdom689 257 43 429333.31.7
Italy391 611 36 427118.80.8
Germany356 387 9 76771.60.3
Netherlands211 690 6 699485.51.6
Belgium202 058 10 359637.62.8
Romania172 516 5 749208.74.3
Czechia160 112 1 283770.55.5
Poland157 608 3 440162.82.3
Sweden103 200 5 91885.30.3
Portugal95 902 2 149181.21.6
Austria62 455 901172.31.1
Ireland47 427 1 841211.30.8
Hungary44 816 1 109154.53.0
Denmark34 441 67794.90.4
Bulgaria28 505 958102.41.7
Slovakia26 300 71269.40.3
Greece24 450 49047.60.9
Croatia23 665 345159.61.3
Norway16 136 27837.30.1
Finland13 133 35153.10.1
Slovenia11 520 153260.30.6
Luxembourg10 471 133287.01.3
Lithuania7 041 11274.60.7
Malta4 282 45231.61.6
Estonia4 017 6838.50.2
Iceland3 929 11313.70.3
Latvia3 204 4265.60.2
Cyprus2 379 2567.40.3
Liechtenstein195 1192.80.0
Total4680037 199909
 
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Another high % of the over 65s. Easy to see why deaths are rising now this bleed over has occurred from the younger age groups.

When it was 5/6% the deaths were small in total. They are starting to take off now it is more than double that.

It is obvious that this is the number one priority to try to bring down to stop the NHS being swamped.

If only we had a way to stop that transfer we could contain the worat aspect of this wave over the winter but we do not even seem to be doing anything much at all to even get this key fact across to people and try to stop it escalating.

I remain utterly baffled why there is no messaging direct to the vulnerable - who are as cheesed off and confused as everyone by what they are allowed/not allowed/advised/requested/mandated to do.

So they all just do what politicians do and we are where we are.

Why on Earth is no special messaging using icons they trust being used to make clear what is happening. I do not know a aingle person who trusts or even believes what any politician or government sponsored doctor is saying in the public domain any more. And almost noboody has a real clue about what they are allowed to do.

This just looks so obvious I am starting to wonder if they actually want older people to die to get this thing over with. So have a policy of deliberate incompetence.

Cannot be true, obviously, but their apparent strategy seems hard to understand. As the number one priority right now has to be stopo the vulnerable catching it and becoming the next statistic.

And nothing of the kind is happening.
That's a good point you make about targeted messaging to the vulnerable and elderly.
WHY are they not doing this?
 
Regional hospital daily data:

London patients up 457 - 467 (wk ago 314) Ventilators up 80 - 82 (wk ago 52)

Midlands patients up 801 - 823 (wk ago 516) Ventilators down 95 = 91 (wk ago 82)

NE/Yorks patients up 1135 - 1162 (wk ago 847) Ventilators up 107 - 109 (wk ago 97)

And North West:

patients up 1637 - 1703 (wk ago 1167) Ventilators up 152 - 160 (wk ago 133)

The North West had 2890 in hospital at its worst in April and 350 on ventilators so you can see the comparison.

Levels for both patients & ventilators are where they last were in Mid May.
 
Stockholm is more densely populated than Manchester though.
Population density has nothing to do with it, the vast majority of Sweden is unpopulated. Most of the population live in cities and towns in the south and east of the country. Some people on here clearly didnt do human geography at school.
 
Its about more than death figures, if we hadn’t shut down in March the NHs would have been overwhelmed, it came close in some areas even woth lockdown, and many more would have died, not just from covid. Comparing what Sweden did and what we did is pointless.
Why is it pointless, they havent sacrificed their economy and they still have a better death rate than us. And pls dont quote stuff like population density as a reason ans that is just not valid.
 
Ffs you two lol
Hey Kaz, do you want to have a look at the table and make an argument against Swedens approach?


EU/EEA and the UKSum of CasesSum of Deaths14-day cumulative number of COVID-19 cases per 100 00014-day cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths per 100 000
Spain936 560 33 775312.43.6
France834 770 33 303365.81.7
United_Kingdom689 257 43 429333.31.7
Italy391 611 36 427118.80.8
Germany356 387 9 76771.60.3
Netherlands211 690 6 699485.51.6
Belgium202 058 10 359637.62.8
Romania172 516 5 749208.74.3
Czechia160 112 1 283770.55.5
Poland157 608 3 440162.82.3
Sweden103 200 5 91885.30.3
Portugal95 902 2 149181.21.6
Austria62 455 901172.31.1
Ireland47 427 1 841211.30.8
Hungary44 816 1 109154.53.0
Denmark34 441 67794.90.4
Bulgaria28 505 958102.41.7
Slovakia26 300 71269.40.3
Greece24 450 49047.60.9
Croatia23 665 345159.61.3
Norway16 136 27837.30.1
Finland13 133 35153.10.1
Slovenia11 520 153260.30.6
Luxembourg10 471 133287.01.3
Lithuania7 041 11274.60.7
Malta4 282 45231.61.6
Estonia4 017 6838.50.2
Iceland3 929 11313.70.3
Latvia3 204 4265.60.2
Cyprus2 379 2567.40.3
Liechtenstein195 1192.80.0
Total4680037 199909
 
Why is it pointless, they havent sacrificed their economy and they still have a better death rate than us. And pls dont quote stuff like population density as a reason ans that is just not valid.
Because as explained the NHS had to be protected with hospitals filling up, causing other urgent health treatments to be cancelled, whatever the reasons doing nothing wasn’t an option. lockdown was the only way. Please don’t quote nightingales it just isn’t valid.
 
Because as explained the NHS had to be protected with hospitals filling up, causing other urgent health treatments to be cancelled, whatever the reasons doing nothing wasn’t an option. lockdown was the only way. Please don’t quote nightingales it just isn’t valid.
why are they doing better than us?
 
Apologies if posted but has anyone seen that joint statement from Holts, Hydes, Lees, Robinsons, and Thwaites? Makes for very interesting reading:

"In a joint statement published today, pub bosses point out that out of a collective number of 860 pubs in Manchester, around the North West and North Wales, which have been visited by over 8 million people, *there hasn’t been a single case of the virus linked to a visit from one of their pubs*.”
 
Hey Kaz, do you want to have a look at the table and make an argument against Swedens approach?


EU/EEA and the UKSum of CasesSum of Deaths14-day cumulative number of COVID-19 cases per 100 00014-day cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths per 100 000
Spain936 560 33 775312.43.6
France834 770 33 303365.81.7
United_Kingdom689 257 43 429333.31.7
Italy391 611 36 427118.80.8
Germany356 387 9 76771.60.3
Netherlands211 690 6 699485.51.6
Belgium202 058 10 359637.62.8
Romania172 516 5 749208.74.3
Czechia160 112 1 283770.55.5
Poland157 608 3 440162.82.3
Sweden103 200 5 91885.30.3
Portugal95 902 2 149181.21.6
Austria62 455 901172.31.1
Ireland47 427 1 841211.30.8
Hungary44 816 1 109154.53.0
Denmark34 441 67794.90.4
Bulgaria28 505 958102.41.7
Slovakia26 300 71269.40.3
Greece24 450 49047.60.9
Croatia23 665 345159.61.3
Norway16 136 27837.30.1
Finland13 133 35153.10.1
Slovenia11 520 153260.30.6
Luxembourg10 471 133287.01.3
Lithuania7 041 11274.60.7
Malta4 282 45231.61.6
Estonia4 017 6838.50.2
Iceland3 929 11313.70.3
Latvia3 204 4265.60.2
Cyprus2 379 2567.40.3
Liechtenstein195 1192.80.0
Total4680037 199909
So many variables for a comparison but you carry on
 
Not a good day for the North West or Greater Manchester. Both regions up.

All ten boroughs had more cases today than yesterday.
 
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why are they doing better than us?
Lots of reasons and at this point not relevant to us. We have to deal with things as we are today. Starting with protecting hospitals getting too full, especially at a time of year they are already under pressure.
The only question that counts is if we don’t reduce numbers admitted to hospital which are increasing, by introducing restrictions in areas under most pressure, how do we reduce numbers. I’m yet to here an alternative way to cut those numbers needing treatment. Do you have one?
 
Will post full scoreboard later after the match but highlights

London 1166 DOWN from 1394

Midlands 1120 DOWN from 1696

North East 1101 DOWN from 1178

Yorkshire 2127 UP from 1755

And North West 4005 UP from 3325

The GM total today was 1761 - up over 300 from yesterday's 1453 and the biggest daily rise in some time

At 44% this is the highest contribution from Greater Manchester to the NW regional total in 10 days.
 
The average maybe, but if we compare cities Marcus has a point.
Not really.

We have 6 times more people in our capital than Sweden does, their 2nd biggest City would only rank 13th in a list of our urban areas, and their 3rd would rank 27th, a bit smaller than Newport in South Wales, the 4th is about the same size as Burnley in 54th. They have 8 cities above 100k, we have at least 76, which includes places like Lincoln, Burton on Trent and High Wycombe.
 
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