Coronavirus (2021) thread

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BlueAnorak said:
Shopping is absolutely shocking thanks to Covidiots. Only Morrisons is dealing with it.
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Sorry but our local morrisons is an absolute shit show, and has been since the start.

I was a tesco customer primarily until last march, they were quickly a shit show too, we have 2 in the town, tried both, the smaller one was worse than the big one.

I started using our local waitrose, and it's been brilliant, it had short queues at first, but I've not queued since april, and shopped there pretty much once per week for a year (usually on Monday).

Very happy with their stock, selections, and the way they deal with customers, I use their handheld, so don't queue at the till, and pack my bag as I go, and have little or no contact with staff, unless I need it. I thought it would cost me more, but it hasn't, I've probably saved money due to the once per week shop.

Down side is my wine bill has increased, but that's my choice, as I've used their very good selection, and it still hasn't increased my weekly bill as I've (we've) been far more careful to buy what we need.

I still visit our morrisons (waliking distance), as my wife's prescriptions go to their farmacist, so I still visit occasionally, and they have an amazon pick up too, but I've not set foot in tesco for 11 months, apart from fuel for the car, which is all automatic.
 
Barcon said:
Is there still a cake shop on Dunkley ave. that does great pasties? Send us a few of those mate.
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No cake shop there anymore. There is an English chippy that is pretty nice though. There is a Martins Bakery on Lord Lane thats ok. Any particular preference?
 
think we'll feel better once we get into march..im hopeful of getting my jab in early may, any sooner will be a bonus. day by day were winning the war. helps with the blues looking magnificent
 
Is there a viable spike-protein confirmation that can be reached by the current variants, that can evade immunity? If there is then we need to be very careful and we need to monitor the SA-like variants. If there is not, we can do what we want within reason once the over 50s have been vaccinated.
 
splinter said:
think we'll feel better once we get into march..im hopeful of getting my jab in early may, any sooner will be a bonus. day by day were winning the war. helps with the blues looking magnificent
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It depends on whether there is a viable path for mutation. We discussed this right at the outset of the epidemic and the virologists told us that Sars-Cov-2 was relatively stable and was far removed from 'flu. Now we find that it is mutating so imo we need to understand where this can go, and then act accordingly. Perhaps the risk is very low providing virus levels are low but can the SA variants grow in a vaccinated population and how virulent can they become? I don't understand this but I hope that SAGE are looking at this.
 
The Omni vaccination date calculator has increase the default uptake rate from ~70% to 75%. Does anybody know if 70% was ever a realistic figure? I know some people have health issues that may be worsened by the vaccine and others who don't believe it's been tested stringently enough, but could that really be 30% of the population?
 
I was thinking when I looked at gov.uk curve that the rate of decay was slowing and that therefore the R rate was rising towards 1.0 but thinking about it if you have 1000 cases at time = 0 and the virus is declining at a fixed rate then each time step is going to trigger a smaller fall. In other words a population rises exponentially and declines exponentially. I should have realised that. A flattening curve does not mean that we should be worried that something fundamental is happening it's just how populations grow and fall.

To illustrate what I mean here is a population of radioactive atoms that decays at a fixed rate. The curve flattens but the decay rate is fixed.

half-life.png
 
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BlueAnorak said:
Incidently, the PHE data this week shows cases in care homes and hospitals have dramatically fallen over the last 3 weeks.
https://assets.publishing.service.g...D-19_and_Influenza_Surveillance_Graphs_w7.pdf

Shopping is absolutely shocking thanks to Covidiots. Only Morrisons is dealing with it. The rest are simply paying lip service to it and are actually doing sweet FA.
Schools are pretty bad too, no matter what some people are saying.
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How many people don’t visit a shop of some description at least once a week?
There’s your answer to it’s high place up the graph.
It does not mean people catch it there.
It means people who have caught it have been in a shop in the 7 days’ prior.
 
Marvin said:
It depends on whether there is a viable path for mutation. We discussed this right at the outset of the epidemic and the virologists told us that Sars-Cov-2 was relatively stable and was far removed from 'flu. Now we find that it is mutating so imo we need to understand where this can go, and then act accordingly. Perhaps the risk is very low providing virus levels are low but can the SA variants grow in a vaccinated population and how virulent can they become? I don't understand this but I hope that SAGE are looking at this.
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marvin you keep going on about mutation. Of course there is potential. What do we do wait for the entire world to be vaccinated? Once we have vaccinated the over 50s we quite simply have to open up. Speaking to a copper again this week, all he is dealing with is suicides and domestics. People are really starting to struggle.
 
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