Healdplace
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 12 May 2013
- Messages
- 15,983
I'm not sure how long any data on variant prevalence in Bolton has been available.
Informative thread here from a PHE scientist quotes 7-21 days lag on sequencing data.
So it might genuinely be hot off the press that it's associated with the Indian variant.
Thank you will look at that.
And, sorry, yes I should have been clearer.
I meant why they missed the spike in cases not proof of the cause.
That spike WAS obvious long before it got any public mention.
It was surely given what has happened in recent months a pretty safe bet many spikes will be caused by faster spreading variants. That appears to have been the new normal for some months now.
I am arguing that if you see a jump in cases like in Bolton the urgency is to let people know early via local media and suggest caution to drive down spread whilst trying to find out why. Not wait until you know if it is a super spread as by then it will have superspread as you wait.
Last edited: