Prophet of Doom
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- 1 Mar 2007
- Messages
- 1,607
Well my bar is a little higher than the anonymous note that was doing the round recently which most seem to be pinning their hopes on.Which leak would you consider trusted?
Well my bar is a little higher than the anonymous note that was doing the round recently which most seem to be pinning their hopes on.Which leak would you consider trusted?
Giddy or Miserable ****.I reckon @Prophet of Doom is on a wager that they can deploy the word ‘giddy’ over 100 times throughout the month of May.
The press, a group of private companies, are entitled to be biassed. The BBC is funded by taxation and subject to rules in the charter. So, a big difference.Anyone who compares City to Lance Armstrong is effectively claiming City's players are on drugs. Because that is the true implication. A more obvious libel can barely be imagined.
I tried to make this point on the BBC the other day, but inevitably it was deleted as 'off topic'. In fairness, so was the post that prompted mine.
'Off topic' has a special meaning at the BBC. It does not mean starting to talk about boxing or World War II on a football thread. It means daring to contest the Red Shirt Agenda.
BTW more of us should write to our MPs about the clear bias on the BBC. It's probably a waste of time mentioning the press, as the MPs like the bias of the press.
Can we flip from giddy to miserable based on results, the weather, and quality of pies?Giddy or Miserable ****.
Everybody needs to choose their side
I’m notEverybody on here got giddy after being told last week that City were very bullish and sending legal letters out all over the shop.
That tuned out to be complete bollocks so the giddiness has vanished and everybody is back to shitting it again.
Thank you for an excellent summary. On Fordham, it should be noted that we negotiated with HMRC and were effectively cleared with no extra tax being levied. About six clubs were given tax levies, I am not sure whether those cases are still being argued about or whether they have paid the extra tax. None of those clubs have been charged by the PL.Warning *Long post*
We go around and around sometimes, so I tried to summarise where we are and how we got here. By necessity it avoids some of the intricacies, but I tried to be factual where I could. Feel free to comment if I have said anything you disagree with.
2014 UEFA investigation and settlement
- City were never charged with anything.
- City accepted the settlement without accepting guilt.
- There was an investigation but UEFA and City settled before referral to the Adjudicatory Chamber for verdict.
- A settlement does not indicate guilt.
- UEFA moving the goalposts was the club’s main concern for an FFP breach but it wasn’t the only issue.
- Other issues included fair values of sponsorships, related party nature of sponsorships, the inclusion of contract amortisation in the pre-2010 squad cost mitigation, the sale of IP to CFG and the sale of image rights to Fordham.
- Any of these could have led to a breach even if the goalposts hadn't been moved.
- It was in the interest of both parties not to litigate all this, so they settled.
- Importantly for City, the settlement meant the issues of fair value, related party, CDG and Fordham weren’t raised again in 2019.
2019 UEFA investigation, punishment and CAS
- City were found guilty by UEFA but all charges except non-compliance were not proven on appeal at CAS
- So, while it is accurate to say City were found guilty by UEFA, it is disingenuous to say that without referring to the successful appeal.
- The issues for which City were punished by UEFA were: funding of Etihad sponsorship, funding of Etisalat sponsorship, filing incorrect accounts, filing incorrect FFP information.
- City were banned from the CL for two years and fined 30 million Euros (for all the charges, there was no split).
- City appealed to CAS and provided new information, mostly external.
- City didn’t choose the Chairman of the CAS panel, City chose one arbitrator, UEFA chose one and City proposed the Chairman, which was accepted by UEFA. CAS rules allow the two parties to choose the three arbitrators, if they can’t agree they select one each and the two selected arbitrators choose a Chairman and, finally, if they can’t agree then the Chairman of the Judicial Panel can appoint a Chairman. Nothing untoward there.
- CAS time limited the Etisalat issue and part of the Etihad issue.
- Note time limiting isn't a “got off on a technicality”, it is a part of case law in every jurisdiction and just means the issue can’t be proven.
- CAS found, on the balance of probabilities, taking into account the “evidence” presented by UEFA and the counter-evidence provided by the club, that the issue of Etihad was not proven.
- CAS found that City had not complied sufficiently with UEFA, distinguishing three areas: information requested by UEFA on which they later did not insist - no sanction; information requested by UEFA but was presented for the first time at CAS - sanction; information not requested by UEFA that was later presented to CAS - no sanction.
- So the CAS award was Etihad and Etisalat not proven, non-compliance partly proven - CL ban overturned and 10 million Euro sanction.
2019 PL investigation
- Investigation was opened concurrently with UEFA investigation.
- Was delayed firstly by UEFA investigation/ charges and CAS then by some procedural complaints from City on cooperation (countered by PL) and confidentiality (backed by PL).
- Complaints were legitimate but ultimately rejected.
- Allegations referred to disciplinary panel chairman in February 2023.
- Alleged rule breaches were:
- Filing incorrect accounts, presenting incorrect financial information to the PL, acting in bad faith, 50 alleged breaches.
- Understating manager remuneration, 8 alleged breaches.
- Understating player remuneration, 12 alleged breaches.
- UEFA FFP and licensing, 5 alleged breaches.
- PL FFP, 6 alleged breaches.
- Non-cooperation, 30 alleged breaches.
- Total 111 alleged breaches (plus 4 for when rule changes mid-season led to two rule breaches multiple times in a season).
2023 Independent PL Panel (more personal comment as in progress)
- Three member panel chosen by chairman of judicial panel who was chosen by PL.
- We don't know the detail of the allegations, but:
- Some of the allegations mirror the UEFA charges (funding of sponsorships, filing incorrect accounting information, acting in bad faith), so it is safe to assume the detail of the allegations, and the evidence to support them, is also the same.
- The PL may also have additional evidence from their investigation, but, even if the allegations were true, any real incriminating evidence would be external and I doubt any external evidence was provided to the investigation.
- There are also additional allegations concerning matters that were clearly time limited at UEFA (certainly Mancini), matters that were time limited by CAS (Etihad partly, Etisalat), matters that were included in the 2014 settlement and therefore not raised by UEFA in 2019 (most probably Fordham) and, possibly if unlikely, matters that were not in the leaked emails but were included in the 2014 UEFA settlement and therefore not raised by UEFA in 2019 (fair values, related parties, IP sale to CFG).
- General consensus is a hearing in the autumn, an award next year followed by the inevitable appeals.
- Possibility of a settlement before that.
Predictions (completely personal)
- Mancini, time- limited unless the PL can show knowing concealment (unlikely).
- Fordham, time- limited unless the PL can show knowing concealment (unlikely, but don’t know enough about Fordham to be sure).
- Etihad, same as CAS, unproven unless PL have some particularly cogent incriminating evidence from somewhere (unlikely).
- Etisalat, CAS evidence will show no knowing concealment, so time- limited.
- Filing of incorrect accounts, hinges on Etihad (rest isn’t material), so unlikely to be proven.
- Acting in bad faith, if the above comes to pass, this falls away.
- PL FFP breaches, if Etihad resolved as above, shouldn't be a problem.
- UEFA FFP and licensing breaches, if all resolved as above, shouldn’t be a problem.
- So what is left -1? Non-compliance. I can’t imagine that City didn't comply with all reasonable requests from the PL after the failed court appeals, so that leaves requests from the PL that City considered either unreasonable (fishing) or requests outside the scope of the PL rules (external information, imo). Probably same as CAS, financial sanction, maybe reduced if City can show unreasonable or outside scope.
- So what is left - 2? PL disagreeing with some 10 year old accounting treatments (understating expenses due to Fordham / IP sales to CFG). Possible sporting sanction (very unlikely), possible financial sanction (more likely, possibly suspended).
- So that is it, imho. Most likely outcome: financial sanction for non-compliance and (possibly) understatement of expenses on Fordham/IP sales.
he is cognitively dissidentYou sound like you are simultaneously giddy and shitting it.
they can't avoid being guilty of failing to co-operate with the EPL so they will be guilty of some of the charges and that will be enough for the red cartel media.Just don't city accepting any settlement unless we are exonerated of all charges. We have said we are not guilty and can prove it and look forward to proving it and having the case closed once and for all. Making a settlement wont do that.
Not a legal expert obviously, but surely that's contentious too?they can't avoid being guilty of failing to co-operate with the EPL so they will be guilty of some of the charges and that will be enough for the red cartel media
My money is on sometime during the Euros.There is a very good chance this will be concluded in the closed season, to do so now takes the eye off the product they sell, I have no doubt that the club will be exonerated, it’s just a matter off how the PL climbs down the hill they are stuck on, they need a way out, the whole FFP debacle has been a disaster from start to finish, and it proved to many that the industry can not police itself