VAR thread 2022/23

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This is just muddying the waters. A delayed flag is for “When an immediate goal scoring opportunity is likely to occur.”

Neither of the two Foden offsides came remotely close to satisfying that criteria.
How did neither of Foden’s offsides come remotely close to satisfying the criteria, given play was stopped before any opportunity could manifest, as opposed to United’s goal which required play to go on for a considerable time for a goal scoring opportunity to manifest?

This is grasping at straws to explain inconsistent enforcement of the offside rules by the same linesman.
 
Yes, that is a statistical fact
It is not an independently verified statistical fact. Prior to VAR officiating accuracy was being reported as 90+%. After VAR, the pre-VAR accuracy was estimated lower for comparison to VAR era accuracy. And that reporting is internal, which is dubious in of itself.

We need to stop pretending we are arguing from a basis of fact when we aren’t. We are debating opinions, including your posts.

And if you have such little regard for blues’ views on VAR, and are convinced nothing you can say will change them to what you believe are the “right” opinions, then stop participating in the debate.
 
It is not an independently verified statistical fact. Prior to VAR officiating accuracy was being reported as 90+%. After VAR, the pre-VAR accuracy was estimated lower for comparison to VAR era accuracy. And that reporting is internal, which is dubious in of itself.

We need to stop pretending we are arguing from a basis of fact when we aren’t. We are debating opinions, including your posts.

And if you have such little regard for blues’ views on VAR, and are convinced nothing you can say will change them to what you believe are the “right” opinions, then stop participating in the debate.

According to premierleague.com before VAR was introduced the percentage of correct key match decisions stood at 82 percent.
12 months later with VAR in use for the 2019/20 season, it rose to 94 percent.
Suspect it’s even higher now VAR has improved - agree it's not an independently verified stat but it's the best i can search and go on

as for your last point - Yes I will
 
How did neither of Foden’s offsides come remotely close to satisfying the criteria, given play was stopped before any opportunity could manifest, as opposed to United’s goal which required play to go on for a considerable time for a goal scoring opportunity to manifest?

This is grasping at straws to explain inconsistent enforcement of the offside rules by the same linesman.
It has to be an immediate goal scoring opportunity i.e. Kev plays a ball through the middle for Erl to run on to on the edge of the box with no defender in sight. If the liner thinks it is a tight call then the flag should stay down. In Foden's case I think both balls (I may be wrong) were sent out wide, some distance from the goal and therefore there wasn't an immediate goal scoring opportunity.
 
According to premierleague.com before VAR was introduced the percentage of correct key match decisions stood at 82 percent.
12 months later with VAR in use for the 2019/20 season, it rose to 94 percent.
Suspect it’s even higher now VAR has improved - agree it's not an independently verified stat but it's the best i can search and go on

as for your last point - Yes I will
I know the current reported accuracies. The point was the officiating accuracy was reported as much higher prior to VAR (+8-10%), and then was adjusted down after VAR was implemented. This is a pretty common tactic when attempting to prove efficacy of a new system/policy, as it is easy to say part of the new implementation is more accurate reporting that results in previous reporting being shown to be less accurate. It’s actually one of the main tactics for corporate financial reporting (and several forms of fraud).

And thank you.
 
It has to be an immediate goal scoring opportunity i.e. Kev plays a ball through the middle for Erl to run on to on the edge of the box with no defender in sight. If the liner thinks it is a tight call then the flag should stay down. In Foden's case I think both balls (I may be wrong) were sent out wide, some distance from the goal and therefore there wasn't an immediate goal scoring opportunity.
Both of them would have had Foden in behind the United defender in the box and who is to say a chance couldn’t have come from either (though, one was obviously offside, but we know that doesn’t really matter now)? One was very tight, so why did the flag immediately go up?

As far as goal scoring opportunity playing a part, are linesman now doing xG calculations before deciding whether to raise their flag for offside? What is the xG threshold for immediate flag raise versus delayed flag raise? Who set the the threshold? Are they doing it in their heads or is someone confirming it in their ear the moment the potential offside is identified?

180-ADCD8-6026-4495-8-C96-2-EBE74239412.jpg


And, in the case of the United equaliser, it wasn’t tight, nor was it an immediate goal scoring opportunity (xG from his position when the ball was played forward is slightly higher than 0.00). Rashford was well off from the moment the pass was played, not even in our final third when he was offside, so why was the flag delayed until after Rashford had run 20 yards over the ball and Fernandes swept in to put it in the back of the net?

729573-A9-76-FD-4250-978-E-83-E3-CAFD33-BE.jpg


eliteserien-xg-model.png


In fact, at no point was it a particularly great goal scoring opportunity, except that all three of our players were defending a ghost offside player who had possession of the ball. Really, there is no goal scoring opportunity if Rashford is not allowed to run over the ball, as either Akanji or Eddie easily clear it before Fernandes arrives.

8-CD95-D67-73-D2-4-A57-A61-F-53-F577-DEC9-F3.jpg


Fernandes even shoots from outside and almost dead centre of the box which is a relatively low xG position.

DFEE86-A2-3547-4834-82-A1-3-DF9-AC49-D108.jpg


xG-heatmap-1024x609.png


Foden’s position for both of his immediate offside calls would have much higher xG.

Nothing about the officiating during the match makes much sense outside of specific potential frameworks of utter incompetence or outright manipulation.
 
According to premierleague.com before VAR was introduced the percentage of correct key match decisions stood at 82 percent.
12 months later with VAR in use for the 2019/20 season, it rose to 94 percent.
Suspect it’s even higher now VAR has improved - agree it's not an independently verified stat but it's the best i can search and go on

as for your last point - Yes I will
... and therein lies the problem.

'Premier League says Premier League implement system is 'working', but can't back up their assertions with hard facts'.
 
Both of them would have had Foden in behind the United defender in the box and who is to say a chance couldn’t have come from either (though, one was obviously offside, but we know that doesn’t really matter now)? One was very tight, so why did the flag immediately go up?

As far as goal scoring opportunity playing a part, are linesman now doing xG calculations before deciding whether to raise their flag for offside? What is the xG threshold for immediate flag raise versus delayed flag raise? Who set the the threshold? Are they doing it in their heads or is someone confirming it in their ear the moment the potential offside is identified?

180-ADCD8-6026-4495-8-C96-2-EBE74239412.jpg


And, in the case of the United equaliser, it wasn’t tight, nor was it an immediate goal scoring opportunity (xG from his position when the ball was played forward is slightly higher than 0.00). Rashford was well off from the moment the pass was played, not even in our final third when he was offside, so why was the flag delayed until after Rashford had run 20 yards over the ball and Fernandes swept in to put it in the back of the net?

729573-A9-76-FD-4250-978-E-83-E3-CAFD33-BE.jpg


eliteserien-xg-model.png


In fact, at no point was it a particularly great goal scoring opportunity, except that all three of our players were defending a ghost offside player who had possession of the ball. Really, there is no goal scoring opportunity if Rashford is not allowed to run over the ball, as either Akanji or Eddie easily clear it before Fernandes arrives.

8-CD95-D67-73-D2-4-A57-A61-F-53-F577-DEC9-F3.jpg


Fernandes even shoots from outside and almost dead centre of the box which is a relatively low xG position.

DFEE86-A2-3547-4834-82-A1-3-DF9-AC49-D108.jpg


xG-heatmap-1024x609.png


Foden’s position for both of his immediate offside calls would have much higher xG.

Nothing about the officiating during the match makes much sense outside of specific potential frameworks of utter incompetence or outright manipulation.
One observation I made at the time was why did the flag not go up straight away as firstly it wasn't a tight call and secondly the liner couldn't possibly have thought there was an immediate goal scoring opportunity. No idea why the flag didn't go up straight away especially given that the liner concerned is supposedly one of the best in the world.
 
One observation I made at the time was why did the flag not go up straight away as firstly it wasn't a tight call and secondly the liner couldn't possibly have thought there was an immediate goal scoring opportunity. No idea why the flag didn't go up straight away especially given that the liner concerned is supposedly one of the best in the world.
especially as Akanji had played himself out of making a challenge by perfectly catching Rashford offside. He played himself out the game brilliantly but was punished for it.
 
Have the FA cleared up the confusion as to whether the referee made the right decision?
Given that in the past this would always have been judged to be offside, the FA need to clarify whether there is now a new interpretation of the rule so that teams can react accordingly.
Although it is a different scenario, I can see free kicks causing a major headache if this is the new reality.
 
It has to be an immediate goal scoring opportunity i.e. Kev plays a ball through the middle for Erl to run on to on the edge of the box with no defender in sight. If the liner thinks it is a tight call then the flag should stay down. In Foden's case I think both balls (I may be wrong) were sent out wide, some distance from the goal and therefore there wasn't an immediate goal scoring opportunity.
I have to disagree there.I’d say that if Kev plays a ball through to Haaland,and it is a tight call,the linesman’s flag is up in a flash and the play is halted for a free kick to them.Potentially a good attack nipped in the bud straight away,with no questions asked.Everyone else gets what they want and nothing to see here….This is what we are up against but only we can see…..
 
Yes.



Yes, that is a statistical fact



Yes, unfortunately we'll never have a system in place that will 100% get every decision correct and please everyone. We do have a system in place that allows a ref a second look, that can spot clear and obvious decisions the refs would have missed otherwise. Will always have big controversial moments when the ref and VAR both get it completely wrong - it shouldn't happen, it's frustrating, but it always will.

With just a ref and couple of lino's then the increase of wrong/farcical decisions is on a much higher scale




Yes, I've witnessed football pre and with VAR, without tech help some games were farcical and the decisions ridiculous

check this pre VAR match out that someone posted a couple weeks ago and tell me you were happier ? it was like this for a lot of games back then.



also, I would like to clarify 'bad' - for some games, refs are under severe pressure from players, fans etc. and they have to deal with cheating/diving, fractional split second decisions - It was becoming pretty impossible for refs hence the need for tech help.



They really did, completely farcical - was clearly offside and interfering

the dickhead ref was swayed by players reaction saying Rashford wasn't interfering and overruled the Lino and didn't go to VAR either - completely infuriating even for a neutral

also on the same day, Brentford getting that penalty awarded when it was Toney grabbing hold of the defender - the ref got completely played and again didn't go to VAR - there's no agenda/conspiracy here - it's just bad officiating even with VAR right there for him to have a look



Agreed they was, not having correct cameras in place - which also happened AGAINST Liverpool earlier the season at Arsenal is something they have to get right.

It proves why we need VAR as the Linos left on thereselves get it wrong

West Ham have had a few really bad ref/VAR go against us also

But it has really helped correct injustice calls which many forget -

Cresswell having a ball smash in his face was awarded a penalty by the ref (VAR overturned)
Likewise Bowen getting completly wiped out and the ref gave a goal kick (VAR overturned)

It's decisions like these which don't get a mention where it's hard to argue against VAR



Yes personally for me.

It's perfectly fine for others to have a different view (something you should learn)



Whatever I say will be met by a few permanently and desperately wanting to be outraged on a forum - I even agreed how bad that offside decision was and was still quoted by a few thinking I was saying it was the correct decision - also the recent poll that 44% on here think VAR was 'SOLELY' set up to benefit Man Utd and Liverpool is just hilarious

So once again, I bow out, there is little point trying to have a rational debate with the likes of you that just want to scream and shout corruption and get abusive. It's a waste of time.

You can tag me in the next 'controversial' incident that WILL happen. I wont bother responding on here.

Have a good one.


Basically and predictably, VAR once again fcuked up big time.

The ref on Saturday made a huge 'clear and obvious error' ..

VAR was sold to one and all as the tool to correct such errors, ensuring fairness would prevail and confirming all would be well with the world..

No so, it appears. City were cheated on Saturday just like Wolves had been the week earlier.

Just to be perfectly clear here, the incorrect decisions given in these two, stand alone games were not marginal, difficult to call, fell into a grey area or could be classed as subjective whilst trying to interpret the rules of the game.

There was absolutely no excuse for VAR to give them... but it did..

Stop hiding behind 'there will always be bad ref / VAR calls'..

These weren't bad calls, these were the match officials cheating and having an unchallenged input in manipulating the result ..

You say that you have witnessed football before and with VAR, so have I.

I've been watching City since the mid '70's and I can still remember Alf fkin Grey stitching us up against the dippers, ruling out a perfectly good Kevin Reeves goal in '81..

The ****..!

From your username, I'm assuming you were born in '85 so again, I'm assuming that you started to watch games in the early, mid 90's.

However I may be wrong as I've seen your photo on here and I must say you look at least 20 years older than the 37-38 years old that would make you, anyway I'm digressing..

The rags v arsenal game, reffed by Mike Riley was played in 2004..

Shocking display of bias but you posting a game from nealy 2 decades ago doesn't really justify the virtues of VAR in it's current form today.

Oh and I'm calling bollocks on your statement that this particular game was like 'a lot of games back then'

Name me some more that were as bad back then to back your statement up ..!

To quote you again on another of your statements..

'It proves why we need VAR as the Lino's left on thereselves*
( *your English, not mine btw) get it wrong..

I think you'll find that the lino correctly raised his flag on Saturday only for the ref to overrule him.

The all singing and dancing VAR apparently didn't get involved and by not doing so basically played their part in assisting the rags a goal..

Again, you cannot defend that by hiding behind 'there will always be controversial decisions where VAR and the referee mess up'..

It's just not good enough..!

These recent calls dished out by VAR are beyond scandalous..!

Video technology works perfectly well in cricket, rugby league, union and tennis...

You have to ask yourself why VAR doesn't want to be seen to operate with the same transparency and openness?

Then again, maybe you don't as it appears to be perfectly clear why it wants to remain unaccountable..
 
Basically and predictably, VAR once again fcuked up big time.

The ref on Saturday made a huge 'clear and obvious error' ..

VAR was sold to one and all as the tool to correct such errors, ensuring fairness would prevail and confirming all would be well with the world..

No so, it appears. City were cheated on Saturday just like Wolves had been the week earlier.

Just to be perfectly clear here, the incorrect decisions given in these two, stand alone games were not marginal, difficult to call, fell into a grey area or could be classed as subjective whilst trying to interpret the rules of the game.

There was absolutely no excuse for VAR to give them... but it did..

Stop hiding behind 'there will always be bad ref / VAR calls'..

These weren't bad calls, these were the match officials cheating and having an unchallenged input in manipulating the result ..

You say that you have witnessed football before and with VAR, so have I.

I've been watching City since the mid '70's and I can still remember Alf fkin Grey stitching us up against the dippers, ruling out a perfectly good Kevin Reeves goal in '81..

The ****..!

From your username, I'm assuming you were born in '85 so again, I'm assuming that you started to watch games in the early, mid 90's.

However I may be wrong as I've seen your photo on here and I must say you look at least 20 years older than the 37-38 years old that would make you, anyway I'm digressing..

The rags v arsenal game, reffed by Mike Riley was played in 2004..

Shocking display of bias but you posting a game from nealy 2 decades ago doesn't really justify the virtues of VAR in it's current form today.

Oh and I'm calling bollocks on your statement that this particular game was like 'a lot of games back then'

Name me some more that were as bad back then to back your statement up ..!

To quote you again on another of your statements..

'It proves why we need VAR as the Lino's left on thereselves*
( *your English, not mine btw) get it wrong..

I think you'll find that the lino correctly raised his flag on Saturday only for the ref to overrule him.

The all singing and dancing VAR apparently didn't get involved and by not doing so basically played their part in assisting the rags a goal..

Again, you cannot defend that by hiding behind 'there will always be controversial decisions where VAR and the referee mess up'..

It's just not good enough..!

These recent calls dished out by VAR are beyond scandalous..!

Video technology works perfectly well in cricket, rugby league, union and tennis...

You have to ask yourself why VAR doesn't want to be seen to operate with the same transparency and openness?

Then again, maybe you don't as it appears to be perfectly clear why it wants to remain unaccountable..
You think Mark looks 57 or 58? I think you need your eyes testing
 
Basically and predictably, VAR once again fcuked up big time.

The ref on Saturday made a huge 'clear and obvious error' ..

VAR was sold to one and all as the tool to correct such errors, ensuring fairness would prevail and confirming all would be well with the world..

No so, it appears. City were cheated on Saturday just like Wolves had been the week earlier.

Just to be perfectly clear here, the incorrect decisions given in these two, stand alone games were not marginal, difficult to call, fell into a grey area or could be classed as subjective whilst trying to interpret the rules of the game.

There was absolutely no excuse for VAR to give them... but it did..

Stop hiding behind 'there will always be bad ref / VAR calls'..

These weren't bad calls, these were the match officials cheating and having an unchallenged input in manipulating the result ..

You say that you have witnessed football before and with VAR, so have I.

I've been watching City since the mid '70's and I can still remember Alf fkin Grey stitching us up against the dippers, ruling out a perfectly good Kevin Reeves goal in '81..

The ****..!

From your username, I'm assuming you were born in '85 so again, I'm assuming that you started to watch games in the early, mid 90's.

However I may be wrong as I've seen your photo on here and I must say you look at least 20 years older than the 37-38 years old that would make you, anyway I'm digressing..

The rags v arsenal game, reffed by Mike Riley was played in 2004..

Shocking display of bias but you posting a game from nealy 2 decades ago doesn't really justify the virtues of VAR in it's current form today.

Oh and I'm calling bollocks on your statement that this particular game was like 'a lot of games back then'

Name me some more that were as bad back then to back your statement up ..!

To quote you again on another of your statements..

'It proves why we need VAR as the Lino's left on thereselves*
( *your English, not mine btw) get it wrong..

I think you'll find that the lino correctly raised his flag on Saturday only for the ref to overrule him.

The all singing and dancing VAR apparently didn't get involved and by not doing so basically played their part in assisting the rags a goal..

Again, you cannot defend that by hiding behind 'there will always be controversial decisions where VAR and the referee mess up'..

It's just not good enough..!

These recent calls dished out by VAR are beyond scandalous..!

Video technology works perfectly well in cricket, rugby league, union and tennis...

You have to ask yourself why VAR doesn't want to be seen to operate with the same transparency and openness?

Then again, maybe you don't as it appears to be perfectly clear why it wants to remain unaccountable..
Solid rant that ;-)
 
And Rashfords did? Him being just a few yds into the City half.

Well he clearly wasn’t just a few yards in City’s half. But anyway, if the linesman had got his initial thoughts wrong and Rashford was onside, then he had a clear run at goal from a central position, with just the ‘keeper to beat. So yes, it was by any reasonable person’s opinion, an immediate goal scoring opportunity, if he’d been onside. Which is a textbook example of a linesman using the delayed flag as it’s intended.
 
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