So all bar Trafford showing cases dropping over the last few days. Personally, I think this peaked with all the students going back to uni and many of them testing positive for it. If you think about it, pretty much everything opened back up in early July and while there was an obvious increase in case numbers off the back of that, we didn’t start to see the huge increases until September onwards.i think it is a bit more useful to quote the numbers by date of case rather than date of reported (avoids 'catch up' spikes etc)
Greater Manchester, 10 areas, up to 10th October (remove 3 days of data):
View attachment 3858
places appear to be going in a good direction
They seem to be concerned with the financial package. I think if that was right theyd agree with Tier 3. They don’t seem to be mentioning the numbers going down.Is this not the reason why Burnham, et al, are arguing why we shouldn’t be put in tier 3 - that the numbers have peaked and may well be on their way back down?
I tend to agree mate but I guess Hancock could come back and say fewer cases but more vulnerable / elderly are getting the virus so the situation is worsening. I’m not sure that’s the case though.So all bar Trafford showing cases dropping over the last few days. Personally, I think this peaked with all the students going back to uni and many of them testing positive for it. If you think about it, pretty much everything opened back up in early July and while there was an obvious increase in case numbers off the back of that, we didn’t start to see the huge increases until September onwards.
Have to look on saddleworth moors instead for sheep@Indaparkside will have a job getting past the border guards on his weekly trips to Wales!
So a premature leak.? pretty unprofessional from the beeb.
Will you take Blue Moon Rammy with you?Have to look on saddleworth moors instead for sheep
Not sure I even understand that. But I guess he's in the covid conspiracy camp?
That’s my reading of it, the sticking point appears to be the financials rather than if we should go into T3 or not.They seem to be concerned with the financial package. I think if that was right theyd agree with Tier 3. They don’t seem to be mentioning the numbers going down.
Peofrey would be best with his experienceWill you take Blue Moon Rammy with you?
Shemnel - I do understand the difference this makes to the data and do often look at it. And did post a list of the comparisons on here a few weeks back to show how they impacted the 'record' for dfferet GM tiwns. They were all over estimated by way of the daily numbers posted v the actual numbers assigned to the date of testing in your graph.
So yes the true numbers daily are actually often lower than the totals I post because cases get eliminated as well as redistributed.
But as you say it takes several days before the numbers to mean anything. Ad cases get added even 4 or 5 days on. This is why the Pop score I show based on the daily published numbers is slightly different from the ones used to create the table of watch areas based on these numbers and why that list is always running days behind. As it has to be to use the actual day of test data.
Though the two are fairly closely aligned in terms of placement on the list and rarely more than a few digits out in the Pop number.
I give the daily reported cases here each evening as these are the only ones you can use to compare with the numbers announced daily for regions and the UK as a whole as that number is created from the raw daily numbers published. So its the only way to have a figure of the day and also that shows how GM compares with the wider NW and with the reported daily cases for England and the UK .
This is the data that, of course, all the media use. Indeed the same problem occurs with date of death - and as you see in my posts I mention the true numbers dying on a day once these are reasonably well established a week later v the numbers that were posted on that day as having occurred then and thus the figure that appears in all the media - as they can be quite different like the cases too.
Please keep posting these graphs though.
And I am happy to do a weekly list of the ACTUAL numbers ascribed to that data for each GM town v the numbers that were posted on the day itself if anyone wants me too.
I just do not want to overload data. It is already a lot to take in.
I’ve just had a terrible vision of a bucket hat bobbing up and down!Peofrey would be best with his experience
That's because it's not.
Not yet.
Just one of those Breaking News’ things from the BBC website.That flashes up. The MEN are saying that there was a media leak from this mornings meeting. Maybe they put it up then took it down.Weird, I've been checking the BBC all morning and they havnt said it on there twitter or website.
what was it saying it?
Penalty clauses are usually unenforceable in English law for any contract ( whether they're service or not).Many services contracts don't have penalty clauses. In fact I've been writing IT services contracts (as a vendor) for 30 years and have hardly ever included them. Lazy reporting from click-bait shit stirrers.